Tampa, Fla. – News Channel 8, the Tampa Bay area’s leading political news station, announces exclusive results from a News Channel 8 statewide poll on the upcoming governor’s race conducted by SurveyUSA. With 29 weeks until votes are counted in Florida, incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott is the current underdog in a fight against Democratic challenger Charlie Crist, according to the SurveyUSA poll, which was conducted for WFLA-TV. Today, the results are: Crist 46%, Scott 41%.
In the survey, conducted from 04/10/14 to 04/14/14, 502 likely voters interviewed responded to this question:
|If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? … (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Or some other candidate?|
|41%||Rick Scott (R)|
|46%||Charlie Crist (D)|
News Channel 8 News Director Bill Berra says, “This is the biggest Florida political race of the year. We are all about serving — and being on the side of — our viewers. These polls keep viewers informed of how this crucial race for governor is shaping up. We hope all our viewers will study the issues and use the information to get out and vote on Election Day, no matter who they vote for.”
Over the next 7 months, News Channel 8 will conduct exclusive polls focusing on Florida’s race for governor and releasing the results on WFLA.com and News Channel 8 Tuesdays at 6 p.m. Poll results will be released bi-weekly on Tuesdays leading up to the primary election on Aug. 26 and every Tuesday at 6 p.m. between the primary results and the general election on Nov. 4.
According to the survey, Scott leads 2-to-1 in Northeast Florida, and more narrowly leads in Southwest Florida (which includes the Tampa Bay region). Crist leads 3-to-2 in Southeast Florida and more narrowly in Central Florida and Northwest Florida. A small turnout in Dade and Broward counties helps Scott. A large turnout in Dade and Broward counties helps Crist. Scott holds 71% of the Republican base, compared to Crist, who holds 80% of the Democratic base. Independents split. Conservatives vote 7-to-1 Republican. Liberals vote 8-to-1 Democratic. Importantly, moderates break 7-to-4 for the Democrat Crist.
Scott and Crist are effectively even among college graduates. Crist leads among less educated voters. Scott leads among upper-income voters. Crist leads among lower-income voters. Middle-income voters split. Scott leads narrowly among white voters; Crist leads overwhelmingly among African Americans, and materially among Asian Americans. Both Cubans and non-Cuban Hispanics lean slightly Republican — but that is based on a small sample and caution should be exercised in projecting those numbers out to Election Day.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: 940 state-of-Florida adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 04/10/14 through 04/14/14. Of the adults, 799 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 502 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the Nov. 4 general election. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
About Media General
Media General, Inc. is a leading local television broadcasting and digital media company, providing top-rated news, information and entertainment in strong markets across the U.S. The company owns or operates 31 network-affiliated broadcast television stations and their associated digital media and mobile platforms, in 28 markets. These stations reach 16.5 million, or 14%, of U.S. TV households. Sixteen of the 31 stations are located in the top 75 designated market areas. Media General first entered the local television business in 1955 when it launched WFLA in Tampa, Florida as an NBC affiliate. The company subsequently expanded its station portfolio through acquisition. In November of 2013, Media General and Young Broadcasting merged, combining Media General’s 18 stations and Young’s 13 stations.